Alan Lickman's 2024 Presidential Predictions Explained

The New York Times
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In a compelling analysis, Professor Alan Lickman, known for his accurate presidential predictions, shares insights on the upcoming 2024 election. At 77, Lickman is as much an athlete as he is a political historian, readying for the Senior Olympics while simultaneously evaluating the presidential race based on his renowned 13 Keys model. This model, developed with geophysicist Vladimir Kousbour, successfully predicted outcomes since 1984, disregarding polls and pundits. Lickman's predictions hinge on dynamics between the White House party, incumbent candidates, third-party challengers, economic conditions, national policy changes, public sentiment, and foreign policies. Each key is answered true or false, establishing whether they favor Democratic or Republican candidates. With a mix of keys leaning positive for the Democratic party and some for Trump, especially regarding Biden’s incumbency and overall charisma, Lickman concludes that the election could likely favor Kamala Harris as the next president, provided certain conditions hold. With Lickman’s prior successes, his insights and unique formula bring a fresh perspective to the unpredictability of political forecasting, challenging voters to actively engage in the upcoming election. Whether you see him as a political oracle or a charming eccentric, Lickman's contribution to understanding the electoral prospects is invaluable.
Highlights
  • β€’ Alan Lickman predicts the 2024 presidential election results.
  • β€’ He uses a 13 Keys model, ignoring polls and conventional punditry.
  • β€’ Lickman has accurately predicted elections since 1984.
  • β€’ He is also an athlete, qualifying for the Senior Olympics.
  • β€’ The model assesses political strength through 13 questions.
  • β€’ Key indicators favor Democrats based on 2022 midterms.
  • β€’ Biden's potential withdrawal hurt Democratic chances.
  • β€’ Kamala Harris emerges as a possible successor.
  • β€’ Foreign policy impacts could still affect predictions.
  • β€’ Voter engagement will determine the final outcome.
* dvch2000 helped DAVEN to generate this content on 09/05/2024 .

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