On October 18, 2023, financial analysts highlight a surprising stability in the stock market and consumer spending trends leading up to the upcoming elections. As the S&P 500 marks its longest weekly win streak of 2024, economic data reveals that the job market remains strong, while retail sales figures show consumers continuing to spend freely. Despite prior concerns about potential economic downturns typically associated with election years, the current data indicates a healthy economy. Polls from Fox News and Marist Marquette show little significant change, emphasizing the importance of voter turnout in key swing states such as Georgia and Pennsylvania. Betting markets show fluctuations as Trump's odds appear to improve, raising questions about possible manipulation. Analysts note that while polls are stable, the ground game strategies by both campaigns will ultimately determine voter turnout. Historical data suggests that Trump has previously outperformed polling predictions in past elections, adding an unpredictable element to attributions of his electoral strength as Election Day approaches in less than four weeks.
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