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Tropical Cyclone Alert in the Caribbean

On Monday, October 28, the weather channel Windy presented its latest update regarding the potential formation of a tropical cyclone in the Caribbean area. According to the National Hurricane Center, there is a 40% chance of a cyclone forming this weekend. However, the accuracy of weather models varies; some, like the Canadian model, indicate a 45% chance, while others, such as the European and U.S. Navy models, do not foresee its formation. Additionally, conditions are observed that could favor the formation of a low-pressure system, which could strengthen and impact Haiti and the Dominican Republic. Increased humidity along the coasts of Costa Rica and Panama is expected in the coming weeks, although they are not anticipated to be directly affected by the cyclone. Global models show different projections regarding the system's trajectory and rain impacts, indicating that some areas could receive up to 300 mm of rainfall. With hurricane season underway and potential formations on the horizon, it is crucial for the public to stay alert and prepare for any eventualities.

Highlights

• The National Hurricane Center indicates a 40% chance of a cyclone in the Caribbean.
• Different models show various projections on cyclone formation.
• The Canadian model proposes a 45% chance; other models are more skeptical.
• A low-pressure system is being analyzed at the border of Honduras and Nicaragua.
• Projections suggest the cyclone could impact Haiti and the Dominican Republic.
• Heavy rainfall is forecasted for Costa Rica and Panama, though not impacted by the cyclone.
• Global models show different intensities and trajectories of formation.
• Significant rainfall accumulations are expected, especially in Haiti.
• It is essential for the public to stay alert for possible weather alerts.
• We will continue to monitor the situation and update as news develops.