On November 30, 2023, semiconductor stocks soared following Micron's announcement of stronger-than-expected sales and earnings for its fiscal first quarter. The company reported impressive results, resulting in a staggering 17% rise in its stock price shortly after trading opened. Micron raised its guidance for the next quarter due to sustained demand for its memory chips, especially those used in AI data centers, indicating a firm market trajectory. William Kerwin, a Morningstar Technology Equity analyst, shared insights, revealing the impact of this report on the wider semiconductor sector. While the short-term results may seem optimistic, Kerwin emphasized that the long-term cyclical nature of memory demand remains unchanged. Micron has benefitted from a favorable cyclical upswing but anticipates a deceleration in growth in the coming quarters. As Micron increases investments in capital expenditures, forecasting around 35% of sales, it looks to keep pace with demand while maintaining its position within a highly competitive market. Despite ongoing strong demand boosting pricing, Micron's pricing power must be understood in the context of the commoditized nature of memory chips. The effects of AI and long-term growth potential will likely extend far beyond Micron and its immediate peers. This bullish outlook is tempered with expectations of an eventual normalization in chip pricing over time, notwithstanding a backdrop of increased AI applications and their demand for memory products.
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